2026 · Week 9 · Oct 31 – Nov 1
Week 9 big-game preview
Each game leads with our line — a spread and total
built from the players on each roster — followed by the matchup underneath it: each side's
pass and rush units measured against the other's, and the stars' stat lines projected with the
same opponent adjustment the engine uses to rate the games themselves. Everything is frozen at
kickoff and graded against what actually happened.
Ohio St. at Southern CaliforniaSat Oct 31, 11:30PM UTC
Our lineOhio State −16Total 69.5Projected Ohio State 43, USC 27Ohio State wins 82%All lines → Ohio St.'s 100th-percentile passing attack meets Southern California's 80th-percentile pass defense — Julian Sayin projects for 250 pass yds.
Ohio St. Pass O → Southern California Pass D
offense1658 · 100th pct
defense1311 · 80th pct
edge +347 offense★ biggest edge
Ohio St. Rush O → Southern California Rush D
offense1580 · 98th pct
defense1344 · 76th pct
edge +236 offense
Southern California Pass O → Ohio St. Pass D
offense1663 · 100th pct
defense1510 · 100th pct
edge +153 offense
Southern California Rush O → Ohio St. Rush D
offense1421 · 82nd pct
defense1620 · 100th pct
edge -199 defense
Ohio St.
250 Pass yds2 Pass TD0.7 INT
6.4 Rec110 Rec yds1.1 Rec TD
80 Rush yds0.5 Rush TD10 Rec yds
Southern California
260 Pass yds1.8 Pass TD0.9 INT
75 Rush yds0.4 Rush TD5 Rec yds
3.5 Rec30 Rec yds0.2 Rec TD
Florida at GeorgiaSat Oct 31, 7:30PM UTC
Our lineGeorgia −22.5Total 47Projected Florida 12, Georgia 35Georgia wins 90%All lines → Georgia's 99th-percentile passing attack meets Florida's 82nd-percentile pass defense — Gunner Stockton projects for 205 pass yds.
Florida Pass O → Georgia Pass D
offense1450 · 94th pct
defense1506 · 100th pct
edge -56 defense
Florida Rush O → Georgia Rush D
offense1482 · 91st pct
defense1670 · 100th pct
edge -188 defense
Georgia Pass O → Florida Pass D
offense1575 · 99th pct
defense1318 · 82nd pct
edge +257 offense★ biggest edge
Georgia Rush O → Florida Rush D
offense1570 · 98th pct
defense1417 · 89th pct
edge +153 offense
Florida
220 Pass yds1.1 Pass TD0.8 INT
100 Rush yds1 Rush TD10 Rec yds
1.7 Rec20 Rec yds0 Rec TD
Georgia
205 Pass yds2 Pass TD0.6 INT
2.2 Rec25 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD
1.8 Rec20 Rec yds0.3 Rec TD
Auburn at MississippiSat Oct 31, 4:45PM UTC
Our lineOle Miss −4.5Total 58Projected Auburn 27, Ole Miss 31Ole Miss wins 60%All lines → Mississippi's 99th-percentile passing attack meets Auburn's 93rd-percentile pass defense — Trinidad Chambliss projects for 275 pass yds.
Auburn Pass O → Mississippi Pass D
offense1318 · 68th pct
defense1351 · 88th pct
edge -33 defense
Auburn Rush O → Mississippi Rush D
offense1510 · 94th pct
defense1414 · 89th pct
edge +96 offense
Mississippi Pass O → Auburn Pass D
offense1598 · 99th pct
defense1383 · 93rd pct
edge +215 offense★ biggest edge
Mississippi Rush O → Auburn Rush D
offense1552 · 97th pct
defense1472 · 93rd pct
edge +80 offense
Auburn
220 Pass yds1.5 Pass TD70 Rush yds
4.9 Rec70 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD
2.5 Rec20 Rec yds0.1 Rec TD
Mississippi
275 Pass yds1.9 Pass TD0.7 INT
3.1 Rec35 Rec yds0.2 Rec TD
90 Rush yds1.1 Rush TD5 Rec yds
Clemson at Florida St.Sat Oct 31, 11:00PM UTC
Our lineFlorida State −5Total 48.5Projected Clemson 22, Florida State 27Florida State wins 62%All lines → Clemson's 84th-percentile running attack meets Florida St.'s 85th-percentile rush defense — Tait Reynolds projects for 160 pass yds.
Clemson Pass O → Florida St. Pass D
offense1370 · 82nd pct
defense1380 · 92nd pct
edge -10 defense
Clemson Rush O → Florida St. Rush D
offense1434 · 84th pct
defense1379 · 85th pct
edge +55 offense★ biggest edge
Florida St. Pass O → Clemson Pass D
offense1422 · 91st pct
defense1412 · 95th pct
edge +10 offense
Florida St. Rush O → Clemson Rush D
offense1430 · 84th pct
defense1460 · 92nd pct
edge -30 defense
Clemson
160 Pass yds0.3 Pass TD0.7 INT
4.7 Rec65 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD
55 Rush yds0.3 Rush TD5 Rec yds
Florida St.
210 Pass yds1.2 Pass TD45 Rush yds
55 Rush yds0.3 Rush TD10 Rec yds
3.9 Rec75 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD
South Carolina at OklahomaSat Oct 31, 8:15PM UTC
Our lineOklahoma −8Total 53.5Projected South Carolina 22, Oklahoma 31Oklahoma wins 68%All lines → Oklahoma's 96th-percentile rush defense looks to smother South Carolina's 67th-percentile running game — LaNorris Sellers projects for 220 pass yds.
South Carolina Pass O → Oklahoma Pass D
offense1407 · 88th pct
defense1421 · 96th pct
edge -14 defense
South Carolina Rush O → Oklahoma Rush D
offense1338 · 67th pct
defense1532 · 96th pct
edge -194 defense★ biggest edge
Oklahoma Pass O → South Carolina Pass D
offense1448 · 93rd pct
defense1374 · 91st pct
edge +74 offense
Oklahoma Rush O → South Carolina Rush D
offense1427 · 83rd pct
defense1428 · 91st pct
edge -1 defense
South Carolina
220 Pass yds1.5 Pass TD40 Rush yds
45 Rush yds0.3 Rush TD10 Rec yds
2 Rec20 Rec yds0.2 Rec TD
Oklahoma
215 Pass yds1.3 Pass TD0.9 INT
3.9 Rec50 Rec yds0.6 Rec TD
5.2 Rec75 Rec yds0.5 Rec TD
Mississippi St. at TexasSat Oct 31, 11:30PM UTC
Our lineTexas −22.5Total 50.5Projected Mississippi State 14, Texas 36Texas wins 90%All lines → Texas's 98th-percentile rush defense looks to smother Mississippi St.'s 73rd-percentile running game — Kamario Taylor projects for 160 pass yds.
Mississippi St. Pass O → Texas Pass D
offense1418 · 90th pct
defense1465 · 98th pct
edge -47 defense
Mississippi St. Rush O → Texas Rush D
offense1358 · 73rd pct
defense1578 · 98th pct
edge -220 defense★ biggest edge
Texas Pass O → Mississippi St. Pass D
offense1480 · 95th pct
defense1324 · 84th pct
edge +156 offense
Texas Rush O → Mississippi St. Rush D
offense1471 · 90th pct
defense1376 · 84th pct
edge +95 offense
Mississippi St.
160 Pass yds1.5 Pass TD35 Rush yds
6.2 Rec80 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD
65 Rush yds0.3 Rush TD10 Rec yds
Texas
240 Pass yds1.8 Pass TD0.7 INT
65 Rush yds0.3 Rush TD15 Rec yds
75 Rush yds0.5 Rush TD10 Rec yds
Washington at NebraskaSun Nov 1, 12:00AM UTC
Our lineNebraska −4.5Total 53.5Projected Washington 24, Nebraska 29Nebraska wins 61%All lines → Washington's 97th-percentile passing attack meets Nebraska's 90th-percentile pass defense — Demond Williams Jr. projects for 210 pass yds.
Washington Pass O → Nebraska Pass D
offense1524 · 97th pct
defense1371 · 90th pct
edge +153 offense★ biggest edge
Washington Rush O → Nebraska Rush D
offense1340 · 68th pct
defense1394 · 86th pct
edge -54 defense
Nebraska Pass O → Washington Pass D
offense1350 · 76th pct
defense1432 · 96th pct
edge -82 defense
Nebraska Rush O → Washington Rush D
offense1462 · 89th pct
defense1422 · 90th pct
edge +40 offense
Washington
210 Pass yds1.6 Pass TD25 Rush yds
2.7 Rec35 Rec yds0.2 Rec TD
5 Rec50 Rec yds0.5 Rec TD
Nebraska
215 Pass yds1.4 Pass TD35 Rush yds
2.5 Rec25 Rec yds0.1 Rec TD
4.5 Rec50 Rec yds0.5 Rec TD
Unit elos are each team's most recent pre-game rating; percentiles
rank them against every FBS unit active this season. Player projections use
matchup_project's engine-consistent adjusted form (season average plus the
inversion-derived opponent delta), the variant that beats the season-average and
league-median baselines in backtest. Stars are chosen by current rating and
in-team usage share. Forecasts, not guarantees — we grade them next week.