2026 · Week 10 · Nov 3–Nov 7 · results

Week 10 lines, graded

Every spread and total we put on record for Week 10, exactly as it stood at kickoff, next to the final score. The miss is how far the final landed from our number, in points. Nothing here was changed after kickoff; misses are included.

Games graded
62
0 pending · FBS vs FBS
Avg. margin miss
13.5 pts
our spread vs the final margin
Avg. total miss
14.6 pts
our total vs the final combined score
Straight up
41–21
winner picked (66%)
Tuesday, November 3
KickoffFinalOur lineMargin missOur totalTotal missWinner
Tue 7:00 PM
28Ohio
20atAkron
Our line Ohio −14.5 · total 48 vs our 51.5
Ohio −14.5Ohio 80%6.551.5actual 483.5✓ right
Tue 8:00 PM
34Buffalo
31atMiami (OH)
QB: Caleb Heavner · for McComb
Our line Miami (OH) −6.5 · total 65 vs our 48.5
Miami (OH) −6.5Miami (OH) 65%9.548.5actual 6516.5✗ wrong
Wednesday, November 4
KickoffFinalOur lineMargin missOur totalTotal missWinner
Wed 7:00 PM
30Ball State
31atMassachusetts
Our line Massachusetts −1 · total 61 vs our 58.5
Massachusetts −1Massachusetts 52%058.5actual 612.5✓ right
Wed 7:00 PM
20Toledo
17atSacramento State
Our line Toledo −17 · total 37 vs our 51.5
Toledo −17Toledo 84%1451.5actual 3714.5✓ right
Wed 7:30 PM
35Central Michigan
7vsEastern Michigan
QB: Jadyn Glasser · for Flores
QB: Brogan McCaughey · status in doubt, for Kim, 96 career att
Our line Central Michigan −6 · total 42 vs our 54.5
Central Michigan −6Central Michigan 63%2254.5actual 4212.5✓ right
Thursday, November 5
KickoffFinalOur lineMargin missOur totalTotal missWinner
Thu 7:30 PM
29UTSA
60atFlorida Atlantic
Our line UTSA −7 · total 89 vs our 63.5
UTSA −7UTSA 66%3863.5actual 8925.5✗ wrong
Thu 8:00 PM
54James Madison
23atSouthern Miss
Our line James Madison −22.5 · total 77 vs our 49.5
James Madison −22.5James Madison 91%8.549.5actual 7727.5✓ right
Friday, November 6
KickoffFinalOur lineMargin missOur totalTotal missWinner
Fri 7:00 PM
28Virginia Tech
51atSMU
Our line SMU −9 · total 79 vs our 57.5
SMU −9SMU 70%1457.5actual 7921.5✓ right
Fri 7:30 PM
17South Florida
20atEast Carolina
QB: Luke Kromenhoek · status in doubt, for Buren
Our line East Carolina −1.5 · total 37 vs our 43
East Carolina −1.5East Carolina 54%1.543actual 376✓ right
Fri 8:00 PM
13Nebraska
24atIllinois
Our line Nebraska −4.5 · total 37 vs our 58.5
Nebraska −4.5Nebraska 60%15.558.5actual 3721.5✗ wrong
Fri 9:00 PM
31New Mexico
3atNevada
QB: AJ Bianco · for Jones
Our line New Mexico −4.5 · total 34 vs our 46.5
New Mexico −4.5New Mexico 61%23.546.5actual 3412.5✓ right
Fri 10:15 PM
28TCU
29atArizona
Our line Arizona −7.5 · total 57 vs our 53
Arizona −7.5Arizona 67%6.553actual 574✓ right
Saturday, November 7
KickoffFinalOur lineMargin missOur totalTotal missWinner
Sat 12:00 PM
31Iowa State
42atBaylor
Our line Baylor −5.5 · total 73 vs our 51.5
Baylor −5.5Baylor 62%5.551.5actual 7321.5✓ right
Sat 12:00 PM
31Florida State
24atBoston College
Our line Florida State −12 · total 55 vs our 53.5
Florida State −12Florida State 76%553.5actual 551.5✓ right
Sat 12:00 PM
34UCLA
20atMinnesota
QB: Ty Dieffenbach · for Iamaleava
Our line UCLA −1 · total 54 vs our 42.5
UCLA −1UCLA 52%1342.5actual 5411.5✓ right
Sat 12:00 PM
34Texas
20atMissouri
Our line Texas −8.5 · total 54 vs our 49.5
Texas −8.5Texas 69%5.549.5actual 544.5✓ right
Sat 12:00 PM
18Clemson
13atSyracuse
QB: Steve Angeli · status in doubt
Our line Clemson −8.5 · total 31 vs our 47
Clemson −8.5Clemson 69%3.547actual 3116✓ right
Sat 12:00 PM
60Tulsa
10atTulane
QB: Trace Johnson · for Semonza
Our line Tulane −7 · total 70 vs our 53.5
Tulane −7Tulane 66%5753.5actual 7016.5✗ wrong
Sat 12:00 PM
38North Carolina
21atUConn
Our line North Carolina −9.5 · total 59 vs our 56.5
North Carolina −9.5North Carolina 71%7.556.5actual 592.5✓ right
Sat 12:00 PM
20BYU
28atUtah
Our line Utah −6 · total 48 vs our 57
Utah −6Utah 64%257actual 489✓ right
Sat 12:30 PM
41Duke
3atNC State
Our line NC State −6.5 · total 44 vs our 54.5
NC State −6.5NC State 65%44.554.5actual 4410.5✗ wrong
Sat 12:30 PM
34Maryland
29atPurdue
Our line Purdue −2.5 · total 63 vs our 52
Purdue −2.5Purdue 56%7.552actual 6311✗ wrong
Sat 12:45 PM
23Arkansas
26atAuburn
Our line Auburn −19 · total 49 vs our 55
Auburn −19Auburn 87%1655actual 496✓ right
Sat 1:00 PM
21Old Dominion
8atCoastal Carolina
QB: Jaxon Potter · status in doubt, for Henicle
Our line Old Dominion −2 · total 29 vs our 51.5
Old Dominion −2Old Dominion 55%1151.5actual 2922.5✓ right
Sat 1:00 PM
66Oklahoma State
28atKansas State
QB: Blake Barnett · for Johnson, 33 career att
Our line Oklahoma State −2.5 · total 94 vs our 59.5
Oklahoma State −2.5Oklahoma State 56%35.559.5actual 9434.5✓ right
Sat 2:30 PM
39Georgia State
23atApp State
QB: Ayden Pereira · for Brown
Our line App State −12.5 · total 62 vs our 50.5
App State −12.5App State 77%28.550.5actual 6211.5✗ wrong
Sat 3:00 PM
19UL Monroe
17atArkansas State
Our line Arkansas State −8 · total 36 vs our 56
Arkansas State −8Arkansas State 68%1056actual 3620✗ wrong
Sat 3:00 PM
40Delaware
42atKennesaw State
Our line Kennesaw State −0.5 · total 82 vs our 53
Kennesaw State −0.5Kennesaw State 51%1.553actual 8229✓ right
Sat 3:00 PM
9Texas A&M
17atSouth Carolina
Our line South Carolina −2 · total 26 vs our 57.5
South Carolina −2South Carolina 54%657.5actual 2631.5✓ right
Sat 3:30 PM
13Marshall
49atGeorgia Southern
Our line Georgia Southern −3.5 · total 62 vs our 50
Georgia Southern −3.5Georgia Southern 58%32.550actual 6212✓ right
Sat 3:30 PM
24Cincinnati
31atHouston
Our line Houston −3.5 · total 55 vs our 60
Houston −3.5Houston 58%3.560actual 555✓ right
Sat 3:30 PM
31Alabama
13atLSU
Our line LSU −6 · total 44 vs our 52.5
LSU −6LSU 64%2452.5actual 448.5✗ wrong
Sat 3:30 PM
42Western Kentucky
51atMiddle Tennessee
Our line Western Kentucky −1 · total 93 vs our 52.5
Western Kentucky −1Western Kentucky 52%1052.5actual 9340.5✗ wrong
Sat 3:30 PM
35Temple
42atNavy
QB: Jackson Gutierrez · 73 career att
Our line Navy −12 · total 77 vs our 55
Navy −12Navy 76%555actual 7722✓ right
Sat 3:30 PM
41Oregon
28atOhio State
QB: Luke Fahey · for Sayin, 51 career att
Our line Ohio State −9.5 · total 69 vs our 60
Ohio State −9.5Ohio State 71%22.560actual 699✗ wrong
Sat 3:30 PM
12Charlotte
23atUAB
QB: Conner Harrell · for Gonzales
Our line UAB −6 · total 35 vs our 50.5
UAB −6UAB 64%550.5actual 3515.5✓ right
Sat 3:30 PM
28Penn State
25atWashington
Our line Penn State −2.5 · total 53 vs our 53
Penn State −2.5Penn State 56%0.553actual 530✓ right
Sat 3:45 PM
33UCF
32atKansas
QB: Cole Ballard · status in doubt, for Marshall
Our line UCF −8 · total 65 vs our 53
UCF −8UCF 68%753actual 6512✓ right
Sat 4:00 PM
20Missouri State
23atFlorida International
Our line Missouri State −4 · total 43 vs our 55.5
Missouri State −4Missouri State 59%755.5actual 4312.5✗ wrong
Sat 4:00 PM
23Rice
52atNorth Texas
QB: Gael Ochoa · status in doubt, for Brown, 16 career att
Our line North Texas −16 · total 75 vs our 63
North Texas −16North Texas 82%1363actual 7512✓ right
Sat 4:00 PM
19Northern Illinois
30atSan José State
Our line Northern Illinois −0.5 · total 49 vs our 54.5
Northern Illinois −0.5Northern Illinois 51%11.554.5actual 495.5✗ wrong
Sat 4:00 PM
41Louisiana Tech
17atTroy
QB: Tucker Kilcrease · for Crowder
Our line Louisiana Tech −0.5 · total 58 vs our 47.5
Louisiana Tech −0.5Louisiana Tech 51%23.547.5actual 5810.5✓ right
Sat 4:15 PM
25Vanderbilt
23atMississippi State
QB: AJ Swann · status in doubt, for Taylor
Our line Mississippi State −4 · total 48 vs our 57
Mississippi State −4Mississippi State 59%657actual 489✗ wrong
Sat 4:15 PM
10Rutgers
31atWisconsin
QB: AJ Surace · status in doubt, for Lonergan, 92 career att
Our line Wisconsin −16.5 · total 41 vs our 56
Wisconsin −16.5Wisconsin 84%4.556actual 4115✓ right
Sat 5:00 PM
26South Alabama
28atLouisiana
Our line Louisiana −3.5 · total 54 vs our 51
Louisiana −3.5Louisiana 58%1.551actual 543✓ right
Sat 6:00 PM
64Boise State
38atColorado State
QB: Maddux Madsen · status in doubt
QB: Hauss Hejny · for Farrar
Our line Boise State −15.5 · total 102 vs our 60.5
Boise State −15.5Boise State 82%10.560.5actual 10241.5✓ right
Sat 6:15 PM
6Kentucky
34atTennessee
Our line Tennessee −3.5 · total 40 vs our 47
Tennessee −3.5Tennessee 58%24.547actual 407✓ right
Sat 7:00 PM
14Sam Houston
47atJacksonville State
QB: DJ Bailey · status in doubt, for Locke, 40 career att
Our line Jacksonville State −16.5 · total 61 vs our 54
Jacksonville State −16.5Jacksonville State 83%16.554actual 617✓ right
Sat 7:30 PM
10Colorado
20atArizona State
QB: Jake Fette · for Boley, 50 career att
Our line Arizona State −11.5 · total 30 vs our 54.5
Arizona State −11.5Arizona State 75%1.554.5actual 3024.5✓ right
Sat 7:30 PM
24Air Force
21atArmy
QB: Howard Fisher · status in doubt, for Szarka, 9 career att
Our line Army −3.5 · total 45 vs our 46
Army −3.5Army 58%6.546actual 451✗ wrong
Sat 7:30 PM
44Louisville
17atGeorgia Tech
Our line Louisville −14 · total 61 vs our 60.5
Louisville −14Louisville 80%1360.5actual 610.5✓ right
Sat 7:30 PM
15Michigan State
6atMichigan
QB: Leo Hannan · status in doubt, for Milivojevic, 15 career att
QB: Tommy Carr · for Underwood, 68 career att
Our line Michigan −18.5 · total 21 vs our 47
Michigan −18.5Michigan 86%27.547actual 2126✗ wrong
Sat 7:30 PM
24Iowa
10atNorthwestern
QB: Aidan Chiles · status in doubt
Our line Northwestern −5 · total 34 vs our 53.5
Northwestern −5Northwestern 61%1953.5actual 3419.5✗ wrong
Sat 7:30 PM
24Miami
31atNotre Dame
Our line Miami −2.5 · total 55 vs our 58.5
Miami −2.5Miami 55%9.558.5actual 553.5✗ wrong
Sat 7:30 PM
42Georgia
7atOle Miss
Our line Georgia −4 · total 49 vs our 52
Georgia −4Georgia 59%3152actual 493✓ right
Sat 7:45 PM
23Oklahoma
7atFlorida
QB: Tramell Jones Jr. · status in doubt, for Philo
Our line Oklahoma −5 · total 30 vs our 52
Oklahoma −5Oklahoma 61%1152actual 3022✓ right
Sat 8:00 PM
30Liberty
14atNew Mexico State
QB: Adam Damante · status in doubt, for Hedden
Our line Liberty −7 · total 44 vs our 55
Liberty −7Liberty 66%955actual 4411✓ right
Sat 9:30 PM
48West Virginia
53atTexas Tech
QB: Tommy Castellanos · for Hammond
Our line Texas Tech −13 · total 101 vs our 50
Texas Tech −13Texas Tech 78%850actual 10151✓ right
Sat 9:30 PM
17Hawai'i
14atUTEP
Our line Pick’em · total 31 vs our 56.5
Pick’emHawai'i 50%356.5actual 3125.5✓ right
Sat 9:30 PM
10Fresno State
17atUtah State
QB: McCae Hillstead · for Brosterhous
Our line Fresno State −3 · total 27 vs our 51.5
Fresno State −3Fresno State 57%1051.5actual 2724.5✗ wrong
Sat 10:30 PM
42Texas State
21atOregon State
Our line Oregon State −5.5 · total 63 vs our 64
Oregon State −5.5Oregon State 62%26.564actual 631✗ wrong
Sat 10:30 PM
41Wyoming
35atUNLV
Our line UNLV −5 · total 76 vs our 56
UNLV −5UNLV 62%1156actual 7620✗ wrong

How this is graded. Each game is scored on the last line we published before its kickoff. Margin miss = the distance between our spread and the final margin; total miss = the distance between our total and the final combined score; the winner is the side our line favoured. Averages and the straight-up record cover every graded game, including the 28 line(s) that carried a quarterback note or a low-confidence flag when published — those notes are shown under the team, and the line is graded like any other. Final scores come from our own game results, cross-checked against ESPN; a game whose final we do not have yet shows as pending.